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Sudan: The Risk of war is higher

By on October 18, 2010
The government of President Omar Al-Bashir said he would accept no alternative to the unity of Sudan.

“Although we are committed to the Global Peace Act, we will accept no alternative to unity,” he said in a speech to the National Assembly. He also warned that there might be a “war”, more serious than the previous one, about the outstanding issues between the parties if they are not resolved before the election, as the borders’ demarcation, the oil sharing revenues and the Nile waters.

At the stake of this election, many things could be raised, but the most important is based on the control of oil, and 80% of southern Sudan grounds have the black gold.  According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), 65% of government revenues depend on oil exports, but the 2005 agreement calls for an equal partition of oil revenues between North and South. Khartoum had said the referendum could not be held on time, and many leaders fear a drift in southern Sudan. Observers fear a new wave of violence in neighbouring countries like the Democratic Republic of Congo, Uganda, Chad and even Somalia. That is why the Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi warned last week that a partition of Sudan would be “contagious” and could spread like an oil spot on the continent. During the 2nd Afro-Arab summit October 10, he called on all leaders to support the Sudanese President, Omar Al-Bashir.

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